7.6.3Ma


 * Grade: 7 Unit: 6 Week: 3 **
 * Content: Experimental Probability **
 * Dates: 4/22/2013 - 4/26/2013 **

How does the probability of an outcome affect the decision making process in real-life situations?
 * __ Theme Essential Question __**** : **

How do you find the experimental probability of an event?
 * __ Essential Questions __**** : **


 * __ Standards __**** : **
 * ** 7. SP.6: ** Approximate the probability of a chance event by collecting data on the chance process that produces it and observing its long-run relative frequency, and predict the approximate relative frequency given the probability.
 * ** 7. **** SP.7a: ** Develop a uniform probability model by assigning equal probability to all outcomes, and use the model to determine probabilities of events.
 * ** 7. **** SP.7b: ** Develop a probability model (which may not be uniform) by observing frequencies in data generated from a chance process.


 * __ Objectives __**** : **
 * The student will explore and analyze experimental probability.
 * The student will calculate experimental probability.
 * The student will make compare experimental and theatrical probabilities.


 * Recommended: For a quick overview of the stands(s) to be addressed in this lesson, see Arizona’s Content Standards Reference Materials at ** @http://www.azed.gov/educator-certification/.

This project will encompass the theoretical and experimental probability units. Students will be designing and developing a hands-on presentation using physical objects, graphing calculators, or web based simulations.
 * __ Assessment __**** : **
 * Product **
 * Students are to work as partners or small group to design and develop a simulation.
 * Students are to calculate the theoretical probability of their simulation. (week 2)
 * Students are to analyze and make predictions based on their simulation. (week 2)
 * Students are to collect data using physical objects, graphing calculators, or web based simulation. They are to calculate the experimental probability of their simulation. (week 3)
 * Students are to compare the results of their theoretical and experimental probability and develop a viable argument. (week 3)


 * Key Questions **
 * What is experimental probability?
 * How do experimental and theoretical probability compare?


 * Observable Student Behaviors (Performance ** )
 * The student can successfully calculate, analyze and make predictions based on experimental probability.
 * The student can compare and contrast theoretical and experimental probability.

1. Make sense of problems and persevere in solving them. 2. Reason abstractly and quantitatively. 3. Construct viable arguments and critique the reasoning of others. 4. Model with mathematics. 5. Use appropriate tools strategically. 6. Attend to precision. 7. Look for and make use of structure. 8. Look for and express regularity in repeated reasoning. ||
 * ** Mathematical Practices **

Total number of trials ||
 * __ Vocabulary __**** : **
 * ** Math ** ||
 * Experimental probability P(event) = Number of times the event occurs


 * Suggested Activities __** :

v Gizmo Correlation High Recommended: Not available
 * // Houghton Mifflin On Core Mathematics Middle School // Grade 7 Unit 7-3, p. 165-168
 * 7.SP.6
 * Theoretical and Experimental Probability
 * Experiment with spinners and compare the experimental probability of a particular outcome to the theoretical probability. Select the number of spinners, the number of sections on a spinner, and a favorable outcome of a spin. Then tally the number of favorable outcomes.
 * 7.SP.7
 * Probability Simulations
 * Experiment with spinners and compare the experimental probability of particular outcomes to the theoretical probability. Select the number of spinners, the number of sections on a spinner, and a favorable outcome of a spin. Then tally the number of favorable outcomes.
 * Glencoe 7th Grade //Mathematics Application and Concepts Course 2//, Chapter 9-6, p. 393-397
 * // Teaching the Common Core Math Standards with Hands-On Activities, //
 * // 7.SP.6 Activity p. 143-144 //
 * // 7.SP.7 Activity p. 144-147 //


 * __ Diverse Learners __**
 * Odyssey (teacher discretion)
 * Skills Tutor (teacher discretion)
 * Math’s Cool
 * Algebra’s Cool


 * __ Homework __**** : ** (Teacher Discretion)


 * @http://www.kutasoftware.com/free.html To print assignment on a variety of topics.
 * See appropriate Glencoe On Core, JBHM and ABC Materials under Suggested Activities
 * Exit Slip (Question or problem to answer before leaving class that will help guide instruction for the following day.)

** E ** thnicity/**C**ulture | **I**mmigration/**M**igration | **I**ntercultural **C**ompetence | **S**ocialization | **R**acism/**D**iscrimination ** High Yield Strategies ** ** S ** imilarities/**D**ifferences | **S**ummarizing/**N**otetaking | **R**einforcing/**R**ecognition | **H**omework/**P**ractice | ** N ** on-**L**inguistic representation | **C**ooperative **L**earning | **O**bjectives/**F**eedback | ** G ** enerating-**T**esting **H**ypothesis | **C**ues, **Q**uestions, **O**rganizers  || Lesson Plan in Word Format (Click Cancel if asked to Log In)
 * __ Terminology for Teachers __**** : **
 * ** Multicultural Concepts **


 * __ Resources __**** : **


 * __ Professional Texts: __**


 * __ Literary Texts __**


 * __ Informational Texts __**


 * __ Art, Music, and Media __**


 * __ Manipulatives __**
 * Marble Bag
 * Spinners
 * Number Cubes
 * Coins
 * Colored Chips
 * Graphing Calculator


 * __ Games __**


 * **Videos** **

Introduces probablility, experimental and theorectical probability, complementary events. This lesson activity allows students to explore probability through the use of spinners, dice, and a random image chooser. Students will discuss if a situation has a equal probability or unequal probability.
 * __ Smartboard Lesson, Promethean Lessons __**
 * 7S.P 7a Introduction to Probability
 * 7S.P 7b Exploring Probability


 * __ Other Activities, etc. __**

Language Arts ||=  ||=   ||= Week 1 ||= Week 2 ||= Week 3 ||= Week 4 ||= Week 5 ||= Week 6 || 7 Matrix ||= Accelerated 7 Matrix ||= Week 1 ||= Week 2 ||= Week 3 ||= Week 4 ||= Week 5 ||= Week 6 || Home K-2 ||= Home 3-6 ||= Home 6-8 ||= Unit 1 ||= Unit 2 ||= Unit 3 ||= Unit 4 ||= Unit 5 ||= Unit 6 ||
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